Budget
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Lottery Results
Projected Effects of the New (March 2026) H-1B Visa Lottery | Penn Wharton Budget Model
A follow-up companion brief explores how firms might strategically respond to the new DHS H-1B selection rule, thereby reducing its impact by 42 percent. DOWNLOAD DATA Main Points Allocation mechanisms compared: We consider…
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Lottery Results
The Impact of Higher Prevailing Wages on the H-1B Visa Lottery | Penn Wharton Budget Model
An updated version of this analysis is available. A revised version was published on April 23, 2026, with refined estimates of the strategic-reclassification offset and other corrections. Please read the updated version instead.…
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